NFL MVP Futures at Polymarket: Buffalo QB Josh Allen Tops Odds Board

The top-10 favorites are all quarterbacks. The last time a non-QB won the award? That was Vikings RB Adrian Peterson back in 2012.

NFL MVP Odds at Polymarket

Top Contenders to Win NFL MVP

These players have the best chance to be named NFL MVP based on Polymarket‘s current pricing.

Josh Allen

Allen, 30, is in the prime of his career. He led all NFL quarterbacks with 14 rushing TDs last season. Buffalo’s fortunes revolve around the dual-threat QB, who often operates as a one-man show.

Allen got off to a quick start this season in leading the Bills to a 36-31 win over the Texans. He threw for 334 yards and two TDs, and also rushed for a pair of scores.

Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams, a former Heisman Trophy winner at USC, is coming into his own now as a top-tier NFL quarterback after leading the Bears to an NFC North title last season.

Williams lit up the scoreboard in Chicago’s season-opening win over Carolina, a 59-37 victory that became the highest-scoring Week 1 game in NFL history. He threw for 269 yards and a pair of TDs. Like Allen, Williams also used his legs to generate two more touchdowns.

Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson is coming off an injury-riddled season last year, but his performance in Week 1 portends great things moving forward. He threw for 324 yards and a touchdown, and rushed for 40 yards and an additional score.

The Ravens are among the top Super Bowl contenders this season. If they do win it all, Jackson will be a major factor in that achievement.

Joe Burrow

Here’s another AFC North signal caller coming off an injury-plagued season in 2025. Joe Burrow suffered a turf toe injury, but is back and fully healthy this season.

Burrow has one of the league’s best wide receiver tandems to throw to in Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. If he stays healthy, expect Burrow to replicate his 2024 numbers. He led all quarterbacks with 4,918 passing yards and 43 passing TDs.

Trevor Lawrence

Jacksonville QB Trevor Lawrence enjoyed his finest season as a pro last year, throwing for 4,007 yards and 29 TDs. The Jaguars won the AFC South with a 13-4 record.

Lawrence helped the Jags steamroll the Browns, 34-10, in Week 1. The former Clemson star threw for 245 yards and four TDs in the season-opening rout.

Most Recent NFL MVP Winners & Preseason Odds

Here are the last 10 winners of the NFL MVP award, along with their preseason odds via Sports Odds History.

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Kris Johnson

Deputy Editor

Kris Johnson is a graduate of Middlebury College. He has spent most of his life working in sports, primarily writing about them.

Before starting his most recent position as Deputy Editor in the summer of 2025, Johnson spent nearly four years with Catena Media as a senior writer.

His career began at a Gannett newspaper in Saratoga Springs, N.Y., where Johnson oversaw the production of a daily horse racing betting supplement called “The Pink Sheet” during Saratoga’s famed summer thoroughbred meet.

Johnson then worked for the Detroit Red Wings as director of media relations for the NHL’s top minor league affiliate in upstate New York.

He then spent four years with MMI/IMG in Charlotte, N.C., where he ultimately served as publicist for NASCAR champion Dale Jarrett on behalf of sponsor UPS.

His work has appeared in Sports Business Daily, Sports Business Journal, The Sporting News, and NASCAR Illustrated. Johnson received the Catlin Journalism Award of Excellence on two occasions.

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