NEWS
22 July 2020
Morgan Stanley predicts break-even EBITDA for Macau in Q3
By Violeta Prockyte

It’s also estimated that EBITDA could reach $160m in Q3, which is a 93% drop compared to the previous year, an improvement over the predicted $1.07bn loss. In addition, Q4 EBITDA could reach $1.4bn, a drop of 42% compared to last year.

Macau’s GGR is also expected to drop by 59% in Q3 compared to the previous year, bringing in $3.63bn. The decline for Q4 should only be 23% at $6.97bn.

Galaxy Entertainment Group and Sands China are named as the only two companies with predicted EBITDA that is greater in Q3 than earnings in Q1. If the industry-wide operating expenses continue to decrease by 8 to 14% year-on-year, the last two quarters “should allow the companies to get back to pre-COVID EBITDA levels even when GGR is not there yet,” analysts said in a report. They also predict Macau’s GRR could reach $31.1bn in 2021 and $37.3bn in 2022.