{"id":103742,"date":"2026-10-04T05:12:53","date_gmt":"2026-10-04T05:12:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gamblinginsider.com\/se\/nyheter\/103742\/brasiliens-bettingforbud-entain-prognos"},"modified":"2026-10-04T05:12:53","modified_gmt":"2026-10-04T05:12:53","slug":"brasiliens-bettingforbud-entain-prognos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gamblinginsider.com\/se\/nyheter\/103742\/brasiliens-bettingforbud-entain-prognos","title":{"rendered":"Med Brasilien inr\u00e4knat: Entain r\u00e4knar med 4\u20136 procents online-tillv\u00e4xt"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Entain st\u00e5r fast vid sin hel\u00e5rsprognos f\u00f6r 2026 trots Brasiliens omedelbara f\u00f6rbud mot onlinesportbetting och onlinespel. Bolaget uppger att verksamheten i landet f\u00f6ljer beslutet, medan konkurrenten Flutter Entertainment r\u00e4knar med en ekonomisk p\u00e5verkan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Brasiliens president Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva undertecknade en exekutiv order som f\u00f6rbjuder verksamheterna med omedelbar verkan. F\u00f6rbudet g\u00e4ller initialt i 120 dagar och beh\u00f6ver godk\u00e4nnas av landets lagstiftare f\u00f6r att forts\u00e4tta d\u00e4refter, enligt Wall Street Journals rapportering den 28 september.<\/p>\n

\"President
Brasiliens president Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n

Prognosintervallen visar effekten p\u00e5 tillv\u00e4xten<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

De synliga uppgifterna i Wall Street Journals rapportering bekr\u00e4ftar att Entain beh\u00e5ller prognosen, men anger inte de numeriska intervallen. MarketWatchs kompletterande rapportering redovisar f\u00f6ljande m\u00e5tt f\u00f6r 2026 och uppger att f\u00f6rbudet v\u00e4ntas f\u00f6ra prognoserna mot den l\u00e4gre delen av intervallen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u00e5tt f\u00f6r 2026<\/th>Prognos<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Underliggande koncern-EBITDA<\/td>910\u2013960 miljoner pund<\/td><\/tr>
Online underliggande EBITDA-marginal<\/td>21\u201322 procent<\/td><\/tr>
Online-NGR-tillv\u00e4xt exklusive Brasilien<\/td>5\u20137 procent, konstant valuta<\/td><\/tr>
Online-NGR-tillv\u00e4xt inklusive Brasilien<\/td>4\u20136 procent<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Entain hade tidigare r\u00e4knat med att Brasilien skulle st\u00e5 f\u00f6r omkring 5 procent av bolagets online-NGR under 2026. EBITDA-bidraget fr\u00e5n landet v\u00e4ntades vara begr\u00e4nsat, enligt MarketWatch, vilket hj\u00e4lper till att f\u00f6rklara varf\u00f6r bolaget beh\u00e5ller koncernens prognosintervall trots den nya marknadsbegr\u00e4nsningen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Uppdelningen mellan tillv\u00e4xt med och utan Brasilien visar samtidigt att marknaden p\u00e5verkar den v\u00e4ntade onlineutvecklingen. Exklusive landet r\u00e4knar Entain med tillv\u00e4xt i den \u00f6vre delen av intervallet 5\u20137 procent p\u00e5 konstant valutabas. Med Brasilien inkluderat \u00e4r prognosen 4\u20136 procent. Den regulatoriska f\u00f6r\u00e4ndringen sker i en marknad d\u00e4r licensreglerna f\u00f6r betting i Brasilien<\/a> redan \u00e4r centrala f\u00f6r operat\u00f6rernas m\u00f6jlighet att bedriva verksamhet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

F\u00f6rbudets forts\u00e4ttning \u00e4r \u00e4nnu inte avgjord<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Den initiala perioden p\u00e5 120 dagar inneb\u00e4r att marknadstillg\u00e5ngen efter perioden beror p\u00e5 lagstiftarens beslut. Entains besked inneb\u00e4r d\u00e4rf\u00f6r inte att den brasilianska verksamheten kan forts\u00e4tta som tidigare: bolaget uppger i st\u00e4llet att den f\u00f6ljer ordern, samtidigt som f\u00f6rbudets fortsatta r\u00e4ttsliga giltighet \u00e4nnu inte \u00e4r avgjord.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

MarketWatch rapporterade den 28 september att Entains aktie d\u00e5 var ned 3,2 procent till 4,35 pund och att den hade fallit mer \u00e4n 40 procent sedan \u00e5rets b\u00f6rjan. Uppgifterna ger en \u00f6gonblicksbild av handeln vid rapporteringstillf\u00e4llet; de visar inte i sig hur stor del av kursr\u00f6relsen som marknaden tillskrev Brasiliens beslut.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Flutter r\u00e4knar med ekonomisk p\u00e5verkan<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Wall Street Journal rapporterade att Flutter ocks\u00e5 uppgav att bolaget f\u00f6ljer f\u00f6rbudet, men till skillnad fr\u00e5n Entain v\u00e4ntar sig en ekonomisk p\u00e5verkan. Den tillg\u00e4ngliga rapporteringen fr\u00e5n Wall Street Journal anger inte n\u00e5gon beloppsm\u00e4ssig uppskattning av effekten f\u00f6r Flutter. Bolagen har d\u00e4rmed beskrivit olika resultatutsikter inf\u00f6r samma regulatoriska besked, medan den brasilianska lagstiftarens behandling av ordern \u00e5terst\u00e5r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

F\u00f6rbudet tr\u00e4der enligt ordern i kraft omedelbart, men dess giltighet efter den f\u00f6rsta 120-dagarsperioden \u00e4r beroende av lagstiftarens godk\u00e4nnande. Hur utfallet p\u00e5verkar operat\u00f6rernas m\u00f6jligheter att verka p\u00e5 marknaden blir d\u00e4rmed en viktig faktor f\u00f6r prognoserna fram\u00f6ver. Flutters bed\u00f6mning av int\u00e4ktseffekten<\/a> ger en j\u00e4mf\u00f6relse med Entains besked om att beh\u00e5lla hel\u00e5rsprognosen.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Brasiliens bettingf\u00f6rbud g\u00e4ller i 120 dagar och v\u00e4ntas f\u00f6ra prognoserna mot den l\u00e4gre delen, medan Entain st\u00e5r fast vid hel\u00e5rsprognosen f\u00f6r 2026.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":239,"featured_media":103741,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":"","_gi_hotjar_enabled":false},"gi_category":[],"gi_region":[],"class_list":["post-103742","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBrasiliens bettingf\u00f6rbud: Entain beh\u00e5ller prognosen<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Brasiliens bettingf\u00f6rbud g\u00e4ller i 120 dagar och v\u00e4ntas f\u00f6ra prognoserna mot den l\u00e4gre delen, medan Entain st\u00e5r fast vid hel\u00e5rsprognosen f\u00f6r 2026.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, 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