Sportradar’s AI simulations have identified Kansas City as the top contender to secure the pro football championship on 9 February 2025, positioning them as the first team to achieve a historic “three-peat.”
After running 50,000 simulations of the 2024-25 season, Kansas City emerged as the champion in 7,105 instances, translating to a 14.2% probability.
San Francisco followed closely with a 12.6% chance, while Baltimore stands at 8.0%, according to Sportradar's predictive model.
Sportradar’s AI technology draws from a network of 900 sportsbook operators, analysing tens of thousands of data points – including historical data and current team odds – to simulate the 18-week, 272-game regular season.
The AI model, which updates weekly with fresh game data, estimates team strength and expected scoring, providing a data-driven forecast of the season’s outcomes.
In addition to predicting the championship, Sportradar’s AI simulations also offer insights into other key aspects of the season.
For example, Kansas City is also projected to be the most likely team to reach ten wins first, with a 15.1% probability. Achieving ten wins is significant, as teams reaching this milestone have a 95.3% chance of making the playoffs. San Francisco (10.1%), Baltimore (7.7%), Detroit (6.4%) and Cincinnati (6.3%) are also strong contenders in this category.
In terms of divisional strength, the AI simulations rank divisions based on their win percentage against teams outside their division. The American North is projected to be the strongest division with a 57.9% win rate, followed by the National North (55.2%), American West (53.8%) and National West (52.2%).
Finally, the most probable championship matchup, according to the AI forecasts, is a rematch between Kansas City and San Francisco, with a 5.4% probability. Other potential matchups include Kansas City versus Philadelphia (3.4%), Baltimore against San Francisco (3.3%), Kansas City facing Detroit (3.1%) and Cincinnati versus San Francisco (2.6%).
