Morgan Stanley analysts: Flutter may exceed its FY 2025 guidance

The banking giant picks apart Flutter’s latest financial figures, stating that the most recent FY 2025 guidance is ‘potentially conservative.’ 

morgan analyis
Listen To Article

Key points:  

- Morgan Stanley has released its official analyst report of Flutter’s FY 2024 financials

- It has stated that Flutter may exceed its FY 2025 forecast – citing it as ‘conservative’ in some places 

- This latest update comes following the operator’s lowering of its Q4 guidance in January 

Morgan Stanley has unpicked Flutter’s latest financial results which saw the company report $14.05bn in FY24 revenue – alongside reacting to the company’s unchanged FY25 financial guidance.  

Indeed, Flutter’s most recent financial update sees its FY25 guidance remain unchanged from its September 2024 Investor Day framework. Outside of the US, Flutter has stated that its current trading is in line with expectations – a point which, in the eyes of Morgan Stanley, ‘seems conservative’ due to a recent strong performance in the Italian market and high win margins in the UK.  

To this point, Morgan Stanley has named Flutter as its ‘Overweight, Top Pick in gambling,’ also stating that the operator ‘struck a confident tone’ with its FY25 guidance.

Flutter’s overall full year 2025 financial guidance has stated an expected group revenue of $15.48bn – $16.48bn – with a predicted adjusted EBITDA rising to between $2.94bn and $3.38bn.  

Good to know: Flutter’s recent acquisition of Snaitech is currently subject to monopoly approval – with the company currently bidding for the lottery licence with alternative Italian brand, Sisal 

Further, as part of the Q4 conference earnings call, the company stated that it was ‘pulling (its) thoughts together’ with regard to the Italian lottery situation.  

These latest financial developments for the gambling conglomerate follow its announcement in January that it would be lowering its expected Q4 2024 revenue by $370m to a figure of $5.78bn.

Further, Flutter also lowered its expected adjusted EBITDA from $505m to $205m.  

Premium+ Connections
 
Premium

Sport Generate

 
Premium

1xBet Partners

 
 
Premium

RISK

 
Premium

Lynon

 
Premium

Digitain

 
Premium

Galaxsys

 
Premium

Imagine Live

 
Premium Connections
Consultancy

SCCG Management

Executive Profiles
Scientific Games

Keshav Pitani

Esportes Gaming Brasil

Ana Carolina Luna Maçães

LeoVegas

Mattias Wedar

Kalshi

Sara Slane

Follow Us

Taking stock: Counting on crypto

Gambling Insider tracks the value of the biggest cryptocurre...

In focus: MiFinity

A trusted payments partner for the iGaming industry....

Panel: LatAm and crypto lead the way

During the SBC Summit Americas in Florida, executives from N...

In focus: Spayz.io

Payments that actually work for iGaming operators…...

A welcome from your host

A message from the Founder of the Global Gaming Awards and G...

From the Lead Partner

A message from BetConstruct - Lead Partner of the Global Gam...

The year in review

The Event Manager of the Global Gaming Awards reviews the mo...

Casino Operator of the Year 2025

We present to you the 2025 Shortlist for the Casino Operator...